A Case of Deja Vu

The move in the S&P 500 since January 1st (the selloff, bounce, weak test of the lows and a big surge afterwards) has been so eerily similar to the Aug-Oct move a few months back that it’s a little weird…  Even the multiple 2-day retracements in the middle of the surge. The August selloff unfolded after…

Chart of the Week: Not a Good Sign for Global Stock Markets

The chart below was going around a lot last week.  It shows a composition of AP Moller-Maersk (the world’s largest container shipping company) and Sotheby’s (the auction house of high-end art, etc.) in blue vs. the MSCI World Stock Index in orange.  That’s a pretty tight correlation and a pretty wide gap we’re seeing right…

Market Updates

Well that was exciting!  Please keep in mind that, as a long-term investor, what matters is the earnings power and yield of the companies in which you are invested.  Just because the price of a stock drops doesn’t mean that the underlying company is deteriorating – it simply means you have the chance to buy…

What China’s Currency Devaluation Means for Markets

Risk assets across the board are trading lower today after China devalued their currency, the renminbi (or “yuan” as it’s referred to in international context), overnight by 1.9%.  China currently maintains a peg to the US dollar in order to keep the exchange rate in a very tight band.  They do this by intervening each…

Reflections from the Week

It seems like the only thing I hear in the financial media these days is talk about when the Fed will raise interest rates but I think people are missing the forest for the trees.  The US dollar continues to surge higher and by letting it rise, effectively the Fed is already tightening.  I don’t…