Markets have been fascinating this year. From my perspective, it has been a big battle of opposing forces. Macro economic analysis and fundamental analysis create a framework of what markets should do but obviously they don’t always cooperate. Technical analysis and systematic strategies attempt to analyze how one should be positioned based on what markets…
Here’s my brain dump on the recent market action and how I’m approaching things: Since stocks started to slide in October, I’ve been seeing signals that only appear during bear markets so I’ve been operating under that assumption by reducing exposure to higher risk assets (stocks, corporate bonds, etc.) on bounces. We’re now…
I haven’t written anything in over a month but now feels like a good time to provide an update of what I’m seeing and expecting. Investment markets in general, and stocks especially, typically act in one of two frames of mind. When investors are comfortable taking on risk virtually all bad news is ignored and…
Price is what you pay. Value is what you get. -Warren Buffett Here’s a chart showing the relationship between the S&P 500’s Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio and annualized returns over the next 2 years. It simply shows that your expected return is high when you buy something cheap, and low when you buy something expensive. On…
I know this was a very emotional election so, as always, I preface this post by saying that my comments are purely from an objective point of view regarding the impact on the economy and investment markets. I realize there are many other very important social ramifications beyond just finance but I’ll leave those topics…
I’ve spoken with a few people over the past week about what’s going on with stocks so I figured it would be a good idea to post this video for everyone discussing why we can’t push higher right now. Enjoy! -Nick Like what you see here? It’s easy to subscribe using the box in the…
Today’s video takes a look at the stock market from a long-term perspective. We could see some more selling over the next few days but the “Goldilocks” trend of “not too hot, not too cold” remains in tact for the time being. Thanks for following! -Nick Like what you see here? It’s easy to subscribe…
It was an odd week for the stock market and I’m not yet seeing the things I would like to for confirmation that stocks should move higher. We’ll see where things take us in the week ahead. Here’s a video discussing the the things I’m watching: I hope everyone has a great weekend…