When Correlations go to 1, Short Volatility and Negative Convexity

2017 has been the year to sell volatility.  Volatility on nearly all asset classes has been compressed to historically low levels, which is a function of the world’s major Central Banks going into asset purchase overdrive for the past 18 months.  When you flood the global financial system with free money, people tend to leverage…

Highlighting Some New Investments

Here’s a brief overview of some recent investments made over the past few weeks. TripAdvisor (TRIP) We purchased stock in TripAdvisor as a growth investment.  This is a unique stock that has tremendous long-term growth potential if management can execute.  I’m sure almost everyone is familiar with TripAdvisor.  They run a site where users can…

Why Boring is Usually Best

I bought stock in Kimberly Clark (KMB) this week as a new Income investment at a 3.2% dividend yield.  Kimberly Clark is a global consumer products company with many recognizable brands used by a quarter of the world’s population in the paper products space.  Some of their top brands include Huggies, Klenex, Cottonelle, Kotex, Depend…

Chart of the Week: Changing Auto Market, EV’s and Demand for Metals

There was an interesting article yesterday on Bloomberg about the changing demand for various metals as more cars shift to hybrids or fully electric vehicles (EV’s).  Every major car maker is now starting to come out with their own EV’s and Volvo just announced last month that by 2019 all of their cars will be…

An Intro to Technical Analysis: Seeing Some Structural Weakness

Technical Analysis is the study of charts, chart patterns and indicators.  Purely fundamental investors who study balance sheets and cash flow statements think it’s a complete waste of time whereas chart technicians think it’s all that matters.  I say, why not be well versed in both?  I’ve found it to be extremely valuable in helping…

A Simple Way to Measure Market Overreactions and Turn them into Opportunities

In this post I’m going to show another way you can look at a stock chart to see where a particular stock is trading in relation to its longer term trend by using linear regression channels.  These measure a stock’s trend over a certain period of time, as determined by its best fit linear regression…

Two Ways to Invest in the Changing Shopping Trends

It’s pretty clear that more and more shopping is being done online these days to the point that retailers who were behind the curve or still brick-and-mortar focused are under a lot of pressure, leading to store closings and even a wave of bankruptcies.  I recently made two new investments that I believe are positively…